A worked example · seventh in the series
The only profile in this series that runs out of money completely.
The youngest profile so far, and a renter - 85% of 25-to-34-year-old Germans rent rather than own (Destatis), so unlike every US and the Singapore profile, there's no house sitting at the end of the plan as a floor. An ETF Sparplan (the dominant savings vehicle for this age group) grows for 35 years, peaks at just over €153,000 the year before work stops - and then it's gone: fully depleted by age 73, eight years into a pension the modest state benefit alone can't stretch to cover.
Net worth today
Wealth multiple — on track
Peak portfolio value, age 64
Assets at 81 — the only profile at zero
Methodology
A renter, an ETF Sparplan, and a pay-as-you-go pension
Same discipline as every profile before it - a named government or industry survey per figure, median over mean where both exist - but Germany's system doesn't map cleanly onto Dispono's model either, and three real gaps had to be worked around, disclosed here rather than fabricated. First: no single official Destatis table publishes gross earnings cleanly by single-year age the way US Census HINC-02 does, so this profile uses a commonly-cited average for 30-year-olds rather than a table lookup. Second: a German payslip has income tax plus four separate mandatory social-insurance contributions (pension, health, unemployment, long-term care) - combined here into a single ~40% rate, since Dispono has one flat rate per income item. Third, and most consequential: the state pension (gesetzliche Rentenversicherung) is pay-as-you-go, not a funded account like CPF - there's no existing balance to seed, only a future income stream starting at the statutory retirement age. Retirement savings are instead modelled as a global-equity ETF Sparplan, the dominant vehicle for this age group (ETFs already exceed 40% of under-35 investors' portfolios per BVI/Trade Republic/Consorsbank data) rather than Riester, whose take-up has been flat-to-declining and is harder to model as one clean figure.
| Input | Value used | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Gross salary | €42,000 / yr | Commonly-cited average gross salary for 30-year-olds in Germany (multiple salary-survey aggregators drawing on Destatis's Verdienststrukturerhebung earnings-structure methodology). No single official table breaks this out cleanly by single-year age. |
| Combined income tax + social insurance | ~40% | 2025 §32a EStG income-tax formula (~18% effective on this income) plus 2025 employee social-insurance rates: 9.3% pension + ~8.55% health + 1.3% unemployment + 2.4% long-term care (childless, 23+) |
| Life expectancy | 81 | Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), 2024 - 78.9 years (men), 83.5 years (women), averaged |
| Stops working | 65 | Deutsche Rentenversicherung - average actual retirement-entry age, 64.7 in 2024, rounded |
| State pension starts | 67 | Regelaltersgrenze - the statutory retirement age for everyone born 1964 or later, Deutsche Rentenversicherung |
| State pension amount | €1,836 / mo | Deutsche Rentenversicherung's own 'Standardrente' (Eckrente) as of 1 July 2025 - the benchmark for a full 45-year career at average nationwide earnings. Pay-as-you-go: no funded balance behind it. |
| Starting savings (ETF + cash) | €17,300 | Deutsche Bundesbank, Vermögensbefragung 2023 - median household net wealth, under-35 age group |
| Housing | Rents - no home owned | 85% of Germans aged 25-34 rent (Destatis) - the modal experience at this age, unlike every earlier profile in the series |
Outcome · Cashflow
The 2026 budget
Salary, dividends and interest come to exactly €42,203 against a €42,203 budget, with €911 of modest surplus swept into the ETF Sparplan - after a combined 40% tax-and-social-insurance deduction that takes the single largest bite of any line on this budget.
- Gehalt (Salary)€42,000
- Dividends€159
- Interest€44
- Tax€16,800
- Miete & Nebenkosten (rent)€10,236
- Sonstiges (discretionary)€7,320
- Lebensmittel (groceries)€3,240
- Verkehr (transport)€2,772
- Gesundheit (health)€924
- Investing (surplus)€911
Projected annual income vs. expenses by category, age 30 → 81
Both bars climb steadily for 35 years - then at age 65 (2061) the income bar drops hard as salary mostly disappears, and a "Withdraw Investments" segment appears immediately. It never really recovers: the state pension arrives two years later (2063) but only replaces part of the gap, and from there both bars slowly shrink together until, around age 73, the expense bar simply exceeds what's left to spend - permanently. There's no orange or green marker line on this chart, unlike some of the US profiles; the drop is real, but the product doesn't call it out visually here. Five real years, in the same category-level detail as 2026:
- Gehalt (Salary)€82,348
- Dividends€1,577
- Interest€44
- Tax€32,939
- Miete & Nebenkosten (rent)€20,069
- Sonstiges (discretionary)€14,352
- Lebensmittel (groceries)€6,353
- Verkehr (transport)€5,435
- Investing (surplus)€3,010
- Gesundheit (health)€1,812
The last full working year, and the portfolio's high-water mark: €153,055, roughly nine times today's net worth. It's downhill from here.
- Gehalt (partial year)€41,998
- Withdraw Investments€22,073
- Dividends€1,666
- Interest€44
- Miete & Nebenkosten (rent)€20,471
- Tax€16,799
- Sonstiges (discretionary)€14,639
- Lebensmittel (groceries)€6,480
- Verkehr (transport)€5,544
- Withdrawal tax€3,311
- Gesundheit (health)€1,848
Salary keeps only a partial year (birthday's in June), and the portfolio already has to cover a €3,311 shortfall - two years before the state pension even starts.
- Gesetzliche Rente€26,741
- Withdraw Investments€25,985
- Dividends€908
- Miete & Nebenkosten (rent)€21,298
- Lebensmittel (groceries)€6,741
- Verkehr (transport)€5,768
- Withdrawal tax€3,898
- Tax€2,674
- Gesundheit (health)€1,923
- Sonstiges (discretionary)€15,231
The pension helps, but the €1,836/mo Standardrente only covers about half the budget - withdrawals still carry nearly as much, and the €3,898 shortfall hasn't closed. Age 81, the final year of the plan, for comparison:
- Gesetzliche Rente€60,487
- Miete & Nebenkosten (rent)€28,102
- Sonstiges (discretionary)€20,096
- Lebensmittel (groceries)€8,895
- Verkehr (transport)€7,610
- Tax€6,049
- Gesundheit (health)€2,537
Pure pension income, nothing else - the ETF Sparplan ran out eight years earlier, in 2069. A €12,803 annual gap, every year, with nothing left anywhere to fill it.
Outcome · Investments
The investment picture
At 30, net worth is €17,300 - the lowest starting point in the series by far, matching this being both the youngest profile and the only one with no property. It grows for 35 years, from a Bundesbank-median starting balance to a peak of €153,055 - then it's spent down to nothing at all.
- ETF-Sparplan (equity)€14,300
- Giro- & Tagesgeldkonto (cash)€3,000
- Real estate€0
- Debt€0
- ReachedEnd of 2060, age 64
- Reaches €02069, age 73
Projected portfolio composition, age 30 → 81 (baseline scenario)
Outcome · Analysis
What Dispono's risk analysis finds
The only profile in the series to hit the literal floor of the "Assets at life expectancy" gauge - not thin, not a floor, exactly zero - alongside the only flat 0% "Comfortable" debt-to-income score anywhere in the series.
A low bar for the youngest profile in the series - net worth only needs to be roughly a year's essential expenses at 30.
Thin, same shortfall every profile in the series shows - a €3,000 checking/savings buffer doesn't stretch far.
Lower than every US and the Singapore profile - there's no fixed-income holding at all here, only equity and cash.
The only flat 0% in the series - no mortgage, no car loan, no debt of any kind. Renting has this one real upside.
The only literal zero in the series - every US profile lands on a house-value floor instead. Renting for life means there's nothing left to land on.
The healthiest flexibility rating in the series - discretionary spending is nearly a third of the budget, real room to adjust.
Income and expenses are modelled to inflate at exactly the same rate here, so this measure reads as neutral rather than a real cushion.
Stress-testing the plan
Same five scenarios as every other profile, same mechanism - except this time there's nothing left for any of them to distinguish. Once the portfolio is gone, it's gone.
| Scenario | What's stressed | Assets at 81 | Multiple | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Current plan, no changes | €0 | 0× | |
| Lower returns | Expected return 5% → 3.5% for the full period | €0 | 0× | |
| Higher inflation | Inflation 2% → 3% for the full period | €0 | 0× | |
| Crash early | Equity −30% in year one (2026) | €0 | 0× | |
| Crash mid-way | Equity −30% at age 65 (2061) | €0 | 0× |
Every scenario floors at exactly €0 - the live figures show up as tiny floating-point noise around zero (e.g. "-8.9e-18×"), not a real negative balance. This is the only profile in the series where none of the five stress tests can be told apart: the account is already fully spent by age 73 regardless of which assumption gets pushed harder.
Testing a fix
How much of a cut would actually fix it?
We tested real cuts to discretionary spending - not a single extreme case, a range - re-running the real account after each one and reading the real "Assets at age 81" result.
| Discretionary cut | Assets at 81 | Multiple | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0% (baseline, €610/mo) | €0 | 0× | |
| 5% (€580/mo) | €0 | 0× | |
| 10% (€549/mo) | €91,810 | 1.4× | |
| 25% (€458/mo) | €409,373 | 6.6× | |
| 50% (€305/mo) | €929,653 | 16× |
A remarkably sharp sensitivity for such a modest starting portfolio. Just a 10% cut (about €61 a month) is enough to stop hitting absolute zero at all, and 25% reaches "Balanced" - far smaller cuts than any US or the Singapore profile needed for a comparable jump. The reason is simple: this household has 51 years for a small change to compound, more runway than any other profile in the series gets to work with.
Key insights
What this profile actually tells you
Four findings, each tested the same way as everything else across this series: by changing the real account and reading the real result.
Finding
Renting removes the one thing every other profile lands on
Every US profile in this series depletes to a house-value floor. The Singapore profile never depletes at all. This one has no property anywhere in the model, so when the ETF Sparplan runs out at age 73, the balance simply stays at €0 for the rest of the plan - the only profile in the series to actually run out of money, not just down to a floor.
Finding
A modest starting portfolio, but 51 years to work with
At €17,300, this household starts with the smallest net worth in the series by a wide margin. But it's also the youngest profile - 35 years of ETF Sparplan growth before work stops, more than any other profile gets. That's exactly why the discretionary-cut sensitivity is so sharp: a small change compounds over more years than anywhere else in the series.
Finding
A pay-as-you-go pension doesn't fill the gap it opens
Work stops at 65, but the Standardrente doesn't start until 67 - and even once it does, at €1,836/mo before four decades of inflation, it only ever covers part of a retiree's real budget. The Withdraw Investments line has to fill the rest, on a portfolio that was never built to last this long unassisted.
The limits of a cut
A 10% spending cut is enough to change everything
We tested a range of real discretionary cuts. Below 10%, "Assets at age 81" stays at absolute zero. Cross 10% and the plan escapes zero entirely; cross 25% and it reaches "Balanced." Both thresholds are far lower than any other profile in this series needed - not because this household's finances are healthier, but because there's more time left for a small change to matter.
Read the whole picture
Three numbers worth remembering
The average 30-year-old German starts with just €17,300 in net worth - the smallest starting point in this series - on a €42,000 salary, renting rather than owning. A combined ~40% tax-and-social-insurance deduction and a modest but real ETF Sparplan surplus still build a portfolio that peaks at €153,055 by age 64. It isn't enough: the two-year gap between work stopping (65) and the state pension starting (67), followed by a Standardrente that only covers part of a retiree's real budget, drains the account to exactly €0 by age 73 - the only profile in this entire series with no house, and therefore nothing at all, left standing at the end.
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